Sell in May and be an idiot!”, was how CNBC’s Jim Cramer summed up his appraisal of the 4% rise in US stocks last month.  Traditionally, “Sell in May and go away – come back on St Ledger’s Day” has been a decent mantra by which to abide if investors wish to preserve gains made…

The fact that everyone now, wherever they live in the world, is affected in some way by the effects of the pandemic, and possibly will be for another four to six months, is enough to make any investor think twice about investing new money in the stockmarket. It seems trite to be talking about the…

It has been the worst week for stock markets since the financial crash in 2008, evidenced by the US Dow Jones going from a record high to correction (usually defined as down 10% but in this case the Dow fell 15.5%) in a record 10 sessions, and the VIX volatility index rising over 100% in…

No one likes to hear about the spread of a previously unheard of virus but the corona virus emanating from China has thankfully put a break on the equity markets which were beginning to trade on over exuberance. The World Health Council declared the virus a world health emergency on January 31st, and what at…

This time last year this bulletin forecast no interest rate rises from any of the world’s central banks, against the opinion of most of the analysts that there would be at least three, possibly four rate rises from the US’s Federal Reserve. We were proved right. The year ahead should see again not a single…

The UK’s General Election on December 12th is no laughing matter. Martin Wolff, one of the most respected journalists for the Financial Times, and as a young man a supporter of the Labour Party, wrote a telling article this last weekend in support of the earlier open letter in the FT from 163 economists which…

Three days after the 90th anniversary of the 1929 Stockmarket crash, and with a current bull market of the longest ever duration, many are now questioning whether we are on the verge of another crash. In 1929 there was an exuberant air following the ‘roaring twenties’. People were taking on too much debt, including the purchase…

As unlikely as many see it, if Boris Johnson loses his job to send the Conservative party further into the mire, Jeremy Corbyn could be the next UK prime minister. In June, the labour party leader said, “The very richest in our society have had tax breaks, giveaways and tax havens; they’re living on borrowed time.” What…

Volatility returned big-time to the markets during August, making the holiday month the most hair-raising in four years. After July’s positive returns for both equities and bonds, August was a different story. Daily 200-300 point moves up and down on the S&P500 index were commonplace, bond yields fell in the US and across Europe as bond…

President Trump decided this week to taunt China. “We hold the cards”, he said. Trump thinks the tariffs he has put in place on Chinese goods coming into the US has brought billions of dollars into the US economy, and that China is “dying to do a deal with me” because of the hurt being inflicted…

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